Thursday, October 14, 2010

NFL 2010: Week 6 Picks

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) at Chicago Bears
Expect the Seahawks to be meek on the road. Cutler is back to start for the Bears. And they should have enough to cover a TD.
Outright Win:  Bears
v/s the Spread: Bears (-6.5)

Detroit Lions (+10) at New York Giants
The Lions have their first win of the season under their belt. People expect the Giants to dominate the Lions D by throwing the ball a lot. But that may not work against the improving Detroit secondary. The Giants will have to win this game running the ball efficiently.
Outright Win: Giants
v/s the Spread: Lions (+10)

Atlanta Falcons (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles
The Falcons might just be the best team in the NFC. But Matt Ryan seems to struggle on the road. So expect this game to stay close, even though the Falcons are going against a not so formidable Eagles Defense.
Outright Win: Falcons 
v/s the Spread: Falcons (+3)

Cleveland Browns (+13.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Tale of two teams: The Browns are going to start rookie Colt McCoy at QB. On the other side, the Steelers get back their star QB after his suspension.
Outright Win: Steelers
v/s the Spread: Steelers (-13.5)

San Diego Chargers (-8.5) at St. Louis Rams
The Chargers should easily cover this if they do not give up points to careless turnovers and special teams mishap.
Outright Win: Chargers
v/s the Spread: Chargers (-8.5)

New Orleans Saints (-4.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Its no secret that the Saints are struggling on offense. And the Buccaneers are scrappy enough that they have just one loss, behind a solid defense and an effective young QB. I expect this game to go down to the wire, but the Saints should be able to pull this off.
Outright Win: Saints
v/s the Spread: Buccaneers (+4.5)

Kansas City Chiefs (+4.5) at Houston Texans
The Texans are going against a good run defense this week. They will have to take the aerial route to put up points on the scoreboard. But that's not going to be easy given how shaky Matt Schaub has been. And a hurt Andre Johnson, a banged up Jacoby Jones and a recovering Owen Daniels does not help.
Outright Win: Chiefs 
v/s the Spread: Chiefs (+4.5)

Oakland Raiders (+6.5) at San Francisco 49ers
The battle of the bay may not mean much to outsiders, but there's a lot of pride at stake in this game. In spite of starting 0-5, the 49ers might save some face with their fans with a win here. Raider Nation will like nothing more than a thrashing of the 49ers on Sunday. But it really is a crime that the 49ers are favored by almost a TD in this game.
Outright Win: 49ers
v/s the Spread: Raiders (+6.5)

New York Jets (-3) at Denver Broncos
The Jets are for real. But their defense over the last couple weeks has shown some hints of weaknesses. Their pass defense is under even more stress this week facing that pass-wacky Josh McDaniels Broncos offense. Something's got to give.
Outright Win: Jets
v/s the Spread: Jets (-3)

Dallas Cowboys (+1.5) at Minnesota Vikings
The Cowboys and the Vikings, both come into this game at 1-3 and a loss here takes them to full-panic mode. The second half of the Vikings game against the Jets last week, although it ended with that ill-fated Favre INT, it was encouraging for the Viking passing offense. With that shaky Dallas secondary, we should see that trend continue. Dallas can still stay in this game if they stick to their running game.
Outright Win: Vikings
v/s the Spread: Vikings (-1.5)

Indianapolis Colts(-3) at Washington Redskins
Its Peyton Manning on Sunday Night Football. Enough said!
Outright Win: Colts 
v/s the Spread: Colts (-3)

Tennessee Titans (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans will have to contain MJD, while the Jaguars will want to contain Chris Johnson.
Outright Win: Titans
v/s the Spread: Titans (-3)

Upset Special of the Week

Baltimore Ravens (+3) at New England Patriots
The Patriots have a couple things to prove. First, they can win without Randy Moss. Second, and more importantly, revenge for their defeat in last season's playoffs. But the Ravens this year are clearly upgraded on offense and more than capable on defense to handle the Patriots offense, or are they?
Outright Win: Ravens
v/s the Spread: Ravens (-3)

Homer Pick of the Week

Miami Dolphins (NL) at Green Bay Packers 
The Packers are banged up. And that is an understatement. Yes, it's that bad! They might be fortunate enough to have their starting QB for this game against Miami. It's no given that Rodgers will be cleared to play Sunday. Even Vegas ain't prepared to give a line for this game because of this. 
Outright Win: Packers
v/s the Spread: n/a

Last Week:
Outright Win Record: 6-8
v/s the Spread Record: 6-8

Year to Date:
Outright Win Record: 44-32
v/s the Spread Record: 33-40-3

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