Thursday, October 7, 2010

NFL 2010: Week 5 Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5) at Buffalo Bills
This could be that let down game for the Jaguars after beating the Colts last week. But hey, it's the Bills! MJD and Gerrard should be able to get it done.
Outright Win: Jaguars
v/s the Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Coming of the bye week, the Bucs will be prepared to take on the Bengals. Carson Palmer will try to throw a bunch of times to TO and Ochocinco, to try exploit the weak TB corners.
Outright Win:  Bengals
v/s the Spread:  Buccaneers (+6.5)

Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) at Cleveland Browns
The Falcons might just underestimate the Browns here. If they do, they are in for a surprise. The Browns are a tough out this year.
Outright Win: Falcons
v/s the Spread: Browns (+3.5)

St Louis Rams (+3.5) at Detroit Lions
The Lions had another close game against the Packers last week. If they keep this one close, they just might get their first win of the year. The Rams will take away some valuable experience for their young players from this game.
Outright Win: Lions
v/s the Spread: Rams (+3.5)

Kansas City Chiefs (+8.5) at Indianapolis Colts
I am not going to bet against the Colts in a game after a loss to their divisional rivals. They do have to take care of their run defense, especially after losing Bullit this week.
Outright Win: Colts
v/s the Spread: Colts (-8.5)

Chicago Bears (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers
Cutler is out this week because of the concussion from Sunday night. Matt Forte will have to carry the Bears on his back to give them a chance. The Panthers under Jimmy Clausen are not going to run away with the game. So Todd Collins will have a chance to win a close one at the end.
Outright Win: Bears
v/s the Spread: Bears (-2.5)

Denver Broncos (+7.5) at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have had a tough few weeks to open the season. They cannot afford to take a breather here, with Orton, on pace for 5600+ yds throwing this season, coming to town. Ray Lewis will have the defense ready.
Outright Win: Ravens
v/s the Spread: Ravens (+7.5)

New York Giants (+3.5) at Houston Texans
The Giants Defense is coming off a high after dismantling the Bears last week. Houston will not make it as easy as they had it last week, although the Texans are without their starting Left Tackle. I expect the Texans to run a lot early in the game to counter the Giants' pass rush.
Outright Win: Texans
v/s the Spread: Texans (-3.5)

New Orleans Saints (-7.5) at Arizona Cardinals
The Saints should have no problem piling some points on these Cardinals who will be lead by undrafted rookie QB Max Hall.
Outright Win: Saints
v/s the Spread: Saints (-7.5)

San Diego Chargers (-6.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Chargers are all warmed up for the Raiders. But I wouldn't be surprised if the Raiders keep this close. Especially, given the fact Week 5 is still a little early for the Chargers to play at their full potential.
Outright Win: Chargers
v/s the Spread: Raiders (+6.5)

Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Dallas Cowboys
If the Cowboys can only limit the Titans running game, they should be able to control the pace of the game. Romo should have some favorable match ups against the Titans secondary.
Outright Win: Cowboys
v/s the Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) at San Francisco 49ers
Kolb vs. Smith. I give the edge in this match up to Kolb. Mainly because, he can at least dink and dunk his way up the field. But the 49ers are due a win. And they play at home.
Outright Win: 49ers
v/s the Spread: 49ers (-3.5)

Upset Special of the Week

Minnesota Vikings (+4.5) at New York Jets
Randy Moss going against Revis again? Nothing much to watch here other than the pre-game thrash talk from Revis. The biggest winner of the Moss trade is Percy Harvin. He will have a lot of things open up as opposing defenses have to respect Moss stretching the field. Doesn't matter if Favre can make the throw or not.
Outright Win: Vikings
v/s the Spread: Vikings (+4.5)

Homer Pick of the Week

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Washington Redskins
The Packers have caught some kind of an injury bug. They had already lost Ryan Grant for the season. Now, within the last week, they have two of their defensive starters, Morgan Burnett and Nick Barnett out for the year. On top of that Nick Collins and Brandon Chillar are banged up. Along with Mark Tauscher, they are all doubtful for Week 5 and will be week to week after that. Still they might have enough in the tank to take care of business against the Redskins

Outright Win: Packers
v/s the Spread: Packers (-2.5)

Last Week:
Outright Win Record: 9-5
v/s the Spread Record: 5-9

Year to Date:
Outright Win Record: 38-24
v/s the Spread Record: 27-32-3

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