Thursday, November 25, 2010

NFL 2010: Week 12 Picks

New England Patriots (-7) at Detroit Lions
The Lions might have a chance to be in competitive game on Thanksgiving for the first time in like forever. But the Patriots should take care of business here. In spite of all things pointing at this being a "trap" game for the Patriots, I think it will not because they just had their "trap" game loss to the Browns couple weeks ago.
Outright Win: Patriots
v/s the Spread: Patriots (-7)

New Orleans Saints (-3.5) at Dallas Cowboys
I expect the Cowboys to get back to the ground where they belong during the Wade Philips days. And it is about time the Saints get back towards their 2009 season form.
Outright Win: Saints
v/s the Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Cincinnati Bengals (+9) at New York Jets
The Jets have been pulling miraculous last minute wins, one after another. Its time for them to get that dominating blow out win, which reinforces their presence as one of the elite contenders in the league. The Bengals might, as usual, score some garbage time points and cover the spread. 
Outright Win: Jets
v/s the Spread: Bengals (+9)

* updated on 11/27/2010

Minnesota Vikings (+1) at Washington Redskins
The Vikings are going to play hard for their new coach, Leslie Frasier, who they actually might like as a person. The Redskins are still searching for reasons why they had to sign McNaaab long term. Might get some answers this week.
Outright Win: Vikings
v/s the Spread: Vikings (+1)

Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) at Buffalo Bills
The Steelers looked good smothering the Raiders last week. But it was a real telling moment after Richard Seymour slapped Big Ben on his head, and none of his team mates came to his rescue. Moreover, even coach Tomlin did not have his QB's back in the post game interviews. Still, they should have enough fire power to take care of the Bills.
Outright Win: Steelers
v/s the Spread:  Steelers (-7)

Miami Dolphins (+3) at Raiders
The dolphins are in a mess. They have Tyler Thiegpen at QB; and this time without Brandon Marshall. Goood luck with that... especially with the Raiders at home.

Outright Win: Raiders
v/s the Spread: Raiders (-3)

Tennessee Titans (+6.5) at Houston Texans
Vince Young has left no choice for Fisher and the Titans but to go a different direction as soon as possible. Rusty Rusty is going to give the Texans a good chance to get a win here.
Outright Win: Texans
v/s the Spread: Titans (+6.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) at New York Giants
The Giants have a couple of WRs down with injury. The Jaguars have a couple of their linemen down this week too. That about evens out their losses. 
Outright Win: Giants
v/s the Spread: Jaguars (+7)

Carolina Panthers (+10) at Cleveland Browns
Meet the worst team in the league by a large margin: The Carolina Panthers. I don't see them winning a single game here on. Get ready to pack your bags to Charlotte, Andrew Luck.
Outright Win: Browns
v/s the Spread: Browns (-10)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7.5) at Baltimore Ravens 
Josh Freeman might not look like a classic pocket passer, but he gets the job done more often than not. The TB defense is not a dominating unit that instills fear, but their bend but not break defense also gets the job done. But the Ravens are going to be more than what the Buc can handle this week.
Outright Win: Ravens
v/s the Spread: Ravens (-7.5)

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) at Chicago Bears
Mike Vick and the Eagles managed to pull off the win against the Giants. Now, they are on the road against the Bears. The Bears may not look pretty, but their defense will be a handful for the Eagles to handle.
Outright Win: Bears
v/s the Spread: Bears (+3.5)

Kansas City Chiefs (-2) at Seattle Seahawks
The Chiefs are an awful road team. Seahawks are a strong home team.
Outright Win: Seahawks
v/s the Spread: Seahawks (+2)

San Diego Chargers (+3) at Indianapolis Colts
Norv Turner gets the Chargers going on a hot streak right around now. Add to it the Colts have unknown players at receivers and the Chargers always play the Colts hard. You know what I'm getting at....
Outright Win:  Chargers
v/s the Spread: Chargers (+3)

San Francisco 49ers (-1) at Arizona Cardinals
Another NFC showdown. Anyone cares?
Outright Win: 49ers
v/s the Spread: 49ers (-1)

Upset Special of the Week

St Louis Rams (+3.5) at Denver Broncos
The Rams might just be able to get a win here that keeps them in the NFC West hunt... not like that's a hard task. The Broncos, on the other hand, live and die with Orton's arm. Will not be enough this week.
Outright Win: Rams
v/s the Spread: Rams (+3.5)

Homer Pick of the Week

Green Bay Packers (+2) at Atlanta Falcons
The Packers have not played at the Georgia Dome in a looong time. They will be surprised as to how tough it is to play there now, as compared to the last few times, when the Packers dominated the Falcons. Might turn out a little different this time around. I think the Packers will keep it close enough to cover though.
Outright Win: Falcons
v/s the Spread: Packers (+2)

Last Week:
Outright Win Record: 11-5
v/s the Spread Record: 6-7-1

Year to Date:
Outright Win Record: 95-65
v/s the Spread Record: 75-73-8

Upset Picks Year to Date:
Outright Win Record: 5-6
v/s the Spread Record: 8-3

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